Question 1

What risks are investment banks watching across FX?

Accepted Answer

This page maps the risks that the major global investment banks keep flagging across their FX research, organised by force rather than by firm. For each risk we count how many separate banks reference it and across how many currency pairs it appears, so you can see which themes are genuinely held across the sell side and which are one-desk views. Only risks cited by at least four banks across at least three pairs get their own page, the threshold we use to keep this a map of real cross-desk consensus rather than noise. Each entry links to the pairs it touches and to the broader strategic theses behind these views. The aggregate picture is free; the per-firm targets and reasoning are available to subscribers.

Question 2

How do FX risks differ from macro themes?

Accepted Answer

A risk here is a single specific force the banks cite — a policy path, a flow, a growth differential, or a scenario that would move a currency. A macro theme is the broader strategic thesis a desk builds around several of those forces, such as a dollar-weakness call or a carry rotation. The two are complementary: this hub indexes the granular risks and how widely each is shared, while the macro-themes board clusters the higher-level narratives across desks. Reading them together shows both the building blocks the sell side is watching and the theses they assemble from them, without exposing any single firm's tradeable levels or per-firm targets, which remain available to subscribers.

What investment banks are watching across FX risks

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