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Cross-Firm EM Strategy

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Comparing emerging market FX and bond allocation views across 8 firms|2025 EM accuracy →

EM FX Consensus Score

Average FX view across firms (OW=+1, MW=0, UW=-1)

EM FX consensus score by country, sorted by descending FX score (OW=+1, MW=0, UW=-1)
CountryFX ScoreBond ScoreFirms
Malaysia1.000.437
Hungary1.000.758
Poland1.000.008
South Africa1.001.008
Dominican Republic1.001.001
Mexico1.001.008
South Korea0.860.297
China0.630.008
Brazil0.501.008
Turkey0.380.008
Chile0.380.008
India0.250.138
Thailand0.140.007
Indonesia0.000.508
Czech Republic0.000.008
Serbia0.000.001
Colombia0.000.008
Peru0.00-0.437
Uruguay0.000.001
Romania-0.880.258

Firm EM Conviction

OW vs UW count per firm

EM FX conviction by firm, OW count (positive) and UW count (negative), sorted by descending OW count
FirmFX OW CountFX UW CountTotal Coverage
DB10117
JPM9119
MS9117
BofA9117
GS8117
ING7114
BARC7117
MUFG6117

Regional Conviction Radar

Bullish vs bearish % by EM region

Regional EM FX conviction by region — bullish percentage and bearish percentage on each radar axis
RegionBullish %Bearish %Coverage Count
Asia47%0%45
EMEA57%16%49
LatAm39%0%41

FX vs Bond Consensus

Countries in top-right: consensus OW on both FX and bonds

FX score (X) vs Bond score (Y) per EM country, with firm count as bubble size
CountryFX ScoreBond ScoreFirms
Malaysia1.000.437
Hungary1.000.758
Poland1.000.008
South Africa1.001.008
Dominican Republic1.001.001
Mexico1.001.008
South Korea0.860.297
China0.630.008
Brazil0.501.008
Turkey0.380.008
Chile0.380.008
India0.250.138
Thailand0.140.007
Indonesia0.000.508
Czech Republic0.000.008
Serbia0.000.001
Colombia0.000.008
Peru0.00-0.437
Uruguay0.000.001
Romania-0.880.258

Country-Level Firm Views

CountryRegionFirmsFX Score
JPM
GS
ING
MS
MUFG
BofA
DB
BARC
MalaysiaAsia7+1.00OWOWOWOWOWOWOW
HungaryEMEA8+1.00OWOWOWOWOWOWOWOW
PolandEMEA8+1.00OWOWOWOWOWOWOWOW
South AfricaEMEA8+1.00OWOWOWOWOWOWOWOW
Dominican RepublicLatAm1+1.00OW
MexicoLatAm8+1.00OWOWOWOWOWOWOWOW
South KoreaAsia7+0.86OWOWOWMWOWOWOW
ChinaAsia8+0.63MWOWOWOWMWOWOWMW
BrazilLatAm8+0.50MWOWOWMWMWOWOWMW
TurkeyEMEA8+0.38OWMWUWOWOWMWMWOW
ChileLatAm8+0.38OWMWMWOWMWMWOWMW
IndiaAsia8+0.25MWMWMWMWMWOWOWMW
ThailandAsia7+0.14OWMWMWMWMWMWMW
IndonesiaAsia80.00MWMWMWMWMWMWMWMW
Czech RepublicEMEA80.00MWMWMWMWMWMWMWMW
SerbiaEMEA10.00MW
ColombiaLatAm80.00MWMWMWMWMWMWMWMW
PeruLatAm70.00MWMWMWMWMWMWMW
UruguayLatAm10.00MW
RomaniaEMEA8-0.88UWUWMWUWUWUWUWUW

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