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Citi notes EUR/GBP flows and fundamentals diverge amid gilt buying - Investing.com UK

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Citi notes EUR/GBP flows and fundamentals diverge amid gilt buying Investing.com UK

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UK asset markets are under increasing pressure amid rising bond yields and heightened concerns regarding economic stability. This dynamic reflects a broader sell-off driven by investor sentiment, impacting the appeal of UK assets. Per the full note from ING, analysts highlight a distinct uptick in yields, with the 10-year Gilt yield nearing 4%, illustrating growing unease within the market. Despite an upcoming void of scheduled economic data, traders must remain vigilant as the macroeconomic backdrop evolves.

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The desk is positioning for a bullish outlook on Eurobonds, driven by recent political developments and upcoming fiscal announcements in the UK. Per the full note from J.P. Morgan, the recent by-election results and the anticipated spring statement are expected to influence UK rate markets significantly. This backdrop suggests a favorable environment for Eurobonds, particularly as investors seek stability amid potential volatility. The consensus among firms indicates a target range for Eurobonds that reflects this sentiment, with J.P. Morgan's own target at 1.10 for March 2026.

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