FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 30 institutional desks. No promotion.
Live cross-firm bank consensus across 30 desks — FX, oil & gold
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Amid the woes, where are the opportunities in Europe’s car industry? President-elect Trump has threatened to slap higher tariffs on European carmakers, Chinese competition is intensifying, and demand for autos in Europe is flagging. But it’s not all bad news for investors. Featur
The desk interprets President Trump's recent announcement to raise EU auto tariffs as a significant tactical error that could provide the EU with a strategic opportunity to reset trade negotiations. Per the full note from Adam Button, this unexpected move could prompt the EU to reconsider its previous concessions and seek a more favorable long-term deal. The potential for the EU to escalate its response is underscored by the recent political shifts within the European Commission, particularly the departure of Sabine Weyand, which may indicate a readiness to adopt a more assertive trade stance. As the market digests these developments, traders should remain vigilant about the implications for EUR/USD dynamics and broader trade relations.