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As of May 2026, the 18-bank consensus sees the US Dollar Index (DXY) at 96.1 for year-end 2026 (range 92.2–102.3), synthesized from the banks' year-end targets across the six basket currencies — EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/SEK, and USD/CHF.

US Dollar Index (DXY) — Bank Consensus 2026

Synthesized from cross-firm year-end FX targets across the six basket pairs|As of May 2026

Consensus DXY (YE 2026)
96.1
From 18 firms
Consensus Range
92.2–102.3
10.1 index points
Basket Currencies
6
EUR · JPY · GBP · CAD · SEK · CHF

Basket Breakdown

Cross-firm consensus target and fixed index weight for each of the six DXY components — year-end 2026

PairConsensus TargetIndex WeightFirms
EUR/USD1.198357.6%18
USD/JPY148.4413.6%18
GBP/USD1.358411.9%18
USD/CAD1.35619.1%18
USD/SEK9.01784.2%18
USD/CHF0.77673.6%18

How the US Dollar Index is weighted

The ICE US Dollar Index (DXY) is a fixed-weight geometric basket of six currencies against the dollar. The euro dominates at 57.6%, followed by the yen ( 13.6%), pound ( 11.9%), Canadian dollar ( 9.1%), Swedish krona ( 4.2%), and Swiss franc ( 3.6%). A stronger euro or pound pulls the index down; a stronger dollar against the yen, Canadian dollar, krona, or franc pushes it up.

This page applies that same fixed basket to the year-end 2026 consensus of each component pair, giving a single forward-looking dollar-index level. Figures are aggregate cross-firm consensus and range — see the consensus view and year-end forecasts for the per-pair detail.

FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE

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