ING Euro To Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD End-2025 Target Remains 1.18 - Exchange Rates Org UK
At a Glance
The latest insights from ING reinforce a bullish outlook for the EUR/USD exchange rate, with a target of 1.18 by the end of 2025. This aligns with the consensus view among major banks, indicating a potential appreciation of the euro against the dollar in the medium term, despite current market pressures.
Key Takeaways
- 01ING sets a EUR/USD target of 1.18 by end-2025, affirming a bullish outlook.
- 02The current consensus aligns closely with ING’s projection, encouraging a favorable sentiment for the euro.
- 03Diverging forecasts from banks highlight differing views on euro strength, with most leaning towards appreciation.
Full Analysis
What the desk is arguing
The prevailing sentiment among analysts is that the EUR/USD will reach 1.18 by the end of 2025, as projected by ING. This forecast underlines a broader expectation of a strengthening euro, fueled by anticipated economic recovery in the Eurozone and ongoing adjustments in the U.S. monetary policy landscape.
Supporting this view, recent revisions from various banks indicate a similar trajectory, with many aligning their forecasts closely to ING's predictions. As the euro trades at 1.1500, the notion that it can appreciate nearly 2% within the next two years presents a convincing argument for investors looking at the G10 currency space.
Where it sits in our coverage
Our current consensus target for the EUR/USD is 1.2200 by December 2026, reflecting a range that spans from 1.1700 to 1.2500. ING’s forecast aligns closely with the midpoint of this range, suggesting a consensus view that sees the euro appreciating against the dollar over this timeframe.
Notably, some firms have made specific calls that corroborate this bullish sentiment: - JPMorgan: Dec26 target at 1.2000 - Goldman: Dec26 target at 1.2500 - Morgan Stanley: Dec26 target at 1.1600
How other firms see it
In analyzing the consensus, several firms present a range of forecasts that generally support the bullish outlook on EUR/USD but with varying degrees of optimism.
- Goldman and Morgan Stanley are aligned with a bullish tone, emphasizing upward momentum in their outlooks, while Bank of America (BofA) offers a more cautious deceleration, suggesting a potential dip to 1.1900, indicating a less aggressive stance in comparison to other major players.
Market Implications
If ING's forecast holds true, the market could see increased positions favoring the euro, prompting shifts in trade flows that may influence dollar liquidity and overall G10 currency dynamics. Investors may also reassess risk profiles with the anticipated strengthening of the euro against the dollar.
EUR/USD — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2026 |
|---|---|---|
UOB | Bearish | 1.1140 |
ABN AMRO | Bullish | 1.1500 |
Bank of America | Bullish | 1.1500 |
From the original
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