Rates Spark: Up and down with oil
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Daily moves in euro rates remain significant but still follow the tight script driven by oil prices. Falling implied volatility measures suggest euro rate markets are quite content to stay at elevated levels, in line with our view
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Rates Spark: Euro rates and the war
The desk's perspective on Euro rates highlights the ongoing impact of geopolitical tensions on monetary policy discussions. Per the full note from ING Economics, the current landscape indicates that heightened awareness of conflict-related economic risks is influencing ECB decision-making regarding rate hikes. Additionally, the environment of rising energy prices, exacerbated by geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to maintain upward pressure on inflation, potentially prompting a more hawkish stance from the ECB in the coming months.
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