WP - 2026-07-09 - David Borner and Heiko Sorg: CIP violations as functional components of the dynamic cross-currency basis curve
EUR/USD — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2027 |
|---|---|---|
Goldman Sachs | Bearish | 1.1200 |
UOB | Neutral | 1.1450 |
Citi | Bearish | 1.1000 |
From the original
The general search for US dollars in forward currency markets, combined with the balance-sheet constraints of intermediary dealers, induces persistent failure of covered interest parity (CIP). We investigate these CIP deviations across the entire maturity spectrum by analyzing th
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