AUD/USD is at risk of a big selloff amid weakening Australia's data, more hawkish Fed
AUD/USD — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2026 |
|---|---|---|
BNP Paribas | Bearish | 0.6800 |
UBS | Bullish | 0.7300 |
UOB | Bearish | 0.7120 |
From the original
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar came under a little bit of pressure yesterday following claims from Al-Arabiya that a US-Iran draft agreement has been reached. It was expected to be announced in a few hours, yet here we are with still nothing concrete from either side and
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AUD/USD remains stuck in a range as RBA signals a pause and US-Iran stalemate extends
The desk sees AUD/USD remaining rangebound as geopolitical tensions and central bank signals create a cautious environment. Per the full note [source], the US dollar has gained support amid escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, while the RBA's recent pause in rate hikes has left the Australian dollar vulnerable. With the Fed's shift away from an easing bias and the RBA's more neutral stance, the market is positioned for potential volatility as economic data releases loom. Upcoming US data, particularly the NFP report, could serve as a catalyst for movement in the pair.
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Market outlook for the week of 21st-25th September