Fed's Kashkari says far too soon to predict what the next policy move should be
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Fed should have neutral policy outlook going forward Risk to US inflation is now higher than risk of labour market deterioration That said, need to still pay attention to both risks Most US data released since April has shown inflationary risks are higher, not lower Inflationary
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Minneapolis Fed Pres. Kashkari: Inflation is too high
The desk interprets Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari's recent comments as a signal that inflationary pressures remain a critical concern, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions affecting the Strait of Hormuz. Per the full note [source], Kashkari emphasized the need for the Fed to maintain its 2% inflation target, raising questions about the sustainability of current monetary policy amid potential supply chain disruptions. The labor market appears stable but is not immune to external shocks, suggesting that inflation could remain elevated for longer than previously anticipated. This sentiment aligns with our view that the Fed may need to adopt a more cautious approach in its upcoming policy decisions.