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Macro & Markets: Crude disconnect - Nordea Corporate
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Macro & Markets: Crude disconnect Nordea Corporate
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Macro & Markets: Shifting narratives - Nordea Corporate
STANCHART MARKET UPDATESStandard Chartered Corporate & Investment banking
Macro Freestyle – Oil shock- Should we worry about inflation or growth?
The desk argues that the current oil shock, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East, poses a dual threat of inflation and potential growth concerns. Per the full note from Standard Chartered, the immediate market reaction has been to price in inflation fears, with significant shifts in rate expectations across developed markets, particularly in the UK where rate hike probabilities surged from cuts to potential increases of over 100 basis points. As the situation evolves, the desk highlights that sustained high oil prices could trigger broader economic vulnerabilities, particularly if they remain elevated for an extended period.
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