Recession Risk in Europe
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Chronic low growth makes the region highly vulnerable to shocks like this one
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Energy shock reshapes growth and policy outlook in CEE
The desk views the energy shock as a pivotal factor reshaping growth and policy in Central and Eastern Europe, particularly highlighting Poland's resilience compared to the vulnerabilities faced by the Czech Republic and Hungary. Per the full note from ing-think, while Poland shows relative stability, both the Czech Republic and Hungary are grappling with slowing growth and persistent inflation risks, prompting cautious stances from their central banks. Our analysis aligns with the consensus that the region's economic outlook is under pressure, with the potential for further policy adjustments as inflation remains a concern. With no high-impact events on the calendar in the next 30 days, traders should remain vigilant for any unexpected developments in these economies.