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Russia's Massive Oil Price Windfall
From the original
Russia's massive windfall is in equal parts due to the Iran war and EU fecklessness
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The Commodities Feed: Mixed US-Iran messages leave oil seesawing
The $300B Iran Deal Just Erased Oil’s War Premium — $70 Is Next - FinanceFeeds
ING Economics
The Commodities Feed: Oil rallies with US-Iran deadlock
The desk argues that oil's rally on US-Iran deadlock has limited FX spillover but supports commodity currencies. The source notes geopolitical premium is driving crude, yet no explicit FX pair is cited. Consensus sees CAD and NOK benefiting marginally, but the lack of a direct currency call leaves positioning neutral. No high-impact events loom in the next 30 days for oil-linked FX.
Robin J Brooks