The Japanese yen extends losses as June rate hike bets continue to look wrong
USD/JPY — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2027 |
|---|---|---|
Goldman Sachs | Bearish | 165.00 |
UOB | Bearish | 163.00 |
Citi | Bearish | 163.00 |
From the original
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar has been mostly rangebound for the past months with bouts of weakness on positive US-Iran headlines, and strength on negative developments. Last week, it gained ground in the first part of the week on heightened tensions in the Strait of Ho
Related speeches
4 itemsUSD/JPY stays bid despite more hawkish BoJ's Ueda comments and imminent rate hike report
Japanese yen slowly erases intervention-driven gains as macro backdrop remains negative
The desk views the Japanese yen as facing continued bearish pressure, primarily due to persistent negative macroeconomic fundamentals and ineffective intervention measures. Per the full note from Giuseppe Dellamotta, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent decision to maintain interest rates at 0.75% reflects a cautious stance amid rising inflation forecasts and downgraded growth expectations linked to geopolitical tensions. With the Fed's shift away from an easing bias and the potential for increased economic activity post-conflict, the yen's outlook remains bleak. Upcoming US economic data, particularly the NFP report, could further influence USD/JPY dynamics.