UBS Morning audio comment: Firing, not ceasing
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The US-Iran ceasefire seems to have an awful lot of firing. The market response remains muted, with political pressures building in the US. https://secure.ubs.com/campaign/r/?id=t6044a13e,14953c59,28e48c
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4 itemsUBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Firing, not ceasing'
Paul Donovan argues that despite US claims of a ceasefire with Iran, continued military actions undermine that narrative, but markets are resilient due to optimism bias and Trump's low approval ratings limiting escalation risk. The market reaction remains muted as investors focus on US domestic politics and upcoming PCE data. Per the full note [source], a 34% approval rating historically pressures politicians to moderate foreign policy.