FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 38 institutional desks. No promotion.
Euro To Dollar Forecast: UBS Sees EUR/USD Recovering To 1.20 In 2027 Exchange Rates UK
| Firm | Stance | YE 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish |
| 1.1200 |
UOB | Bearish | 1.1140 |
ABN AMRO | Bullish | 1.1500 |
All 28 desk targets for EUR/USD
Desk synthesis pending
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French fiscal deterioration coupled with USD strength narrows EUR/USD support; monitor French bond spreads for contagion risk to broader eurozone credit.
Persistent USD demand signals potential EUR/USD downside to 1.1000, suggesting dollar strength may be structurally underpinned rather than tactical.
EUR resistance failure at 1.1200 combined with Eurozone debt concerns suggests structural headwinds for EUR/USD near-term; elevated oil prices add stagflation risk to ECB policy calculus.
ING structural thesis on EUR/USD weakness suggests institutional positioning remains tilted short euro, limiting rally attempts on technicals.
EUR/USD spot trades 3.43% below the 31-firm median Dec-26 target of 1.16, leaving consensus firmly bullish while the tape lags.
Across six EM pairs tracked by 20 firms, consensus ranges from tight MXN alignment to a 9% INR dislocation, with carry skewed toward TRY and BRL.
EUR/USD spot sits 3.43% below the 31-firm median Dec-26 target of 1.16, with a 0.155 dispersion range signalling deep disagreement on the Fed-ECB rate path.
28 investment banks see EUR/USD at 1.1563 by Dec 2026
View the live EUR/USD forecast