How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events?
Rate hikes by year-end RBNZ: 62 bps (80% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) Fed: 38 bps (40% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) ECB: 37 bps (78% probability of no change at the next meeting) BoE: 33 bps (81% probability of no change at the next meeting) BoC:
Desk synthesis pending
We’re writing the institutional analysis for this note — multi-section body, firm-by-firm alignment chips, key takeaways, market implications, risks. The synthesizer processes the queue hourly, with priority by citation density.
In the meantime, the most useful reads are the related coverage and primary source below — both reach the same substance from different angles.
Sources & References
How we cover this story