FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 36 institutional desks. No promotion.
USD/JPY make a quick move lower after touching a session high. The pair briefly traded above 161.90 only to plunge promptly to 161.20. The dip has been bought though, with the pair back up to 161.65. Japanese officials have repeatedly warned that they're watching markets closely.
| Firm |
|---|
| Stance |
|---|
| YE 2026 |
|---|
Société Générale | Bullish | 150.00 |
Scotiabank | Bullish | 140.00 |
Commerzbank | Bearish | 160.00 |
All 23 desk targets for USD/JPY
Desk synthesis pending
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How we cover this story
USD/JPY trades 4.64% above the 23-firm median Dec-26 target of 152.0, with a 25.5-point dispersion range signalling deep disagreement on the BoJ-Fed spread path.
USD/JPY trades 4.82% above the 23-firm median Dec-26 target of 152.0, with a 25.5-point dispersion range signalling deep disagreement on the BoJ rate path.
USD/JPY trades 4.95% above the 23-firm Dec-26 consensus of 152.0, with a 25.5-figure spread between Nomura's 165.5 ceiling and Scotiabank's 140.0 floor.
23 investment banks see USD/JPY at 153.94 by Dec 2026
View the live USD/JPY forecast