USD/JPY remains stuck in a tight range amid US-Iran deal optimism and hawkish Fed risk
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar came under renewed pressure yesterday on heightened hopes for a US-Iran deal. The latest developments have certainly been more positive with Qatari mediation reportedly having produced a mutual understanding on Iran's frozen financial asset
USD/JPY — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2026 |
|---|---|---|
UOB | Bearish | 159.80 |
ING | Bullish | 152.00 |
Rabobank | Bullish | 145.00 |
All 23 desk targets for USD/JPY
Desk synthesis pending
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Cross-firm research
USD/JPY Consensus Check: Spot at 159.09, Target 156.0 — Week of August 26, 2026
USD/JPY trades at 159.09, nearly 2% above the 23-firm Dec-2026 consensus of 156.0, with a 25.5-point dispersion signalling deep disagreement on the BoJ-Fed spread path.
USD/JPY Consensus Check: Spot at 159.20, Target 156.0 — Week of August 25, 2026
USD/JPY trades 2.05% above the 23-firm Dec-26 median of 156.0, with a 25.5-point dispersion that reflects deep disagreement on the BoJ rate path.
USD/JPY Consensus Check: Spot at 158.89, Median Target 156.0 — Week of August 24, 2026
USD/JPY trades at 158.89, roughly 1.86% above the 23-firm median Dec-26 target of 156.0, with a 25.5-point dispersion signalling deep disagreement on the BoJ-Fed spread path.