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FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
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Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 30 institutional desks. No promotion.
FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 30 institutional desks. No promotion.
Policy rate
1.75%
as of 2026-04-30
Next meeting
Aug 26
T-46d
The Bank of Thailand is the central bank of Thailand, operating under a flexible inflation-targeting framework agreed with the Ministry of Finance to maintain price stability while supporting sustainable growth and financial stability. The Monetary Policy Committee meets six times per year on a pre-announced schedule.
Policy decisions are announced on the dates above. Source: official central bank schedules.
Policy rate
1.75%
As of 2026-04-30
Reports referencing BoT across covered research desks
The next Bank of Thailand (BoT) policy decision is scheduled for Aug 26. Because Bank of Thailand sets monetary policy for the THB, its rate decisions and forward guidance are among the most important scheduled catalysts for THB exchange rates, and sell-side FX desks reposition their THB forecasts around each meeting. FX Bank Forecast tracks how the major investment banks' THB targets shift before and after BoT decisions, so you can see whether the consensus is moving with the policy path or diverging from it. Watching the cross-bank reaction to each meeting is often a more durable signal than any single house call.
Bank of Thailand's policy lean is read from its most recent decisions and guidance. A more hawkish stance — biased toward higher-for-longer rates — tends to be supportive of the THB, while a dovish, easing-biased stance tends to weigh on it, though the market reaction always depends on what was already priced in. What matters for THB forecasting is less the stance in isolation than how it compares with what investment banks expected and how it shifts the projected rate path. FX Bank Forecast aggregates how 30 major banks read the BoT path and translates it into where the THB consensus and its dispersion sit.
Monetary-policy expectations are one of the dominant drivers of currency moves, so Bank of Thailand's decisions — and, just as importantly, how they compare with other central banks — feed directly into where strategists set their THB targets. Relative policy paths (the BoT versus the Fed and other majors), the pace of cuts or hikes, and the tone of guidance are the channels through which BoT actions transmit into the THB. FX Bank Forecast compares the published THB forecasts of 30 major investment banks side by side and shows how that consensus — and the spread of views around it — shifts as the BoT outlook evolves.