All four major Australian banks now forecast RBA hike to 4.60% on September 29
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With September about 90% priced, the hike itself is unlikely to move the Australian dollar or the front end of the curve, and a hold would be the bigger surprise. The reaction is more likely to turn on the statement and the vote, given that the banks differ on whether the decisio
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4 itemsAll four major Australian banks now forecast RBA hike to 4.60% on September 29 - investinglive.com
Bank consensus builds for near term RBA hike as economists cite sticky inflation
The prevailing sentiment among economists indicates a high likelihood of an RBA rate hike within the year, driven by persistent inflation concerns. Per the full note [source], six out of seven major banks now foresee at least one rate increase, narrowing the debate to the timing of such a move, particularly focusing on the upcoming September and November meetings. This shift translates to expectations of rising bond yields and upward pressure on the Australian dollar as markets react to inflation data and economic indicators leading up to these meetings. With CBA's adjustment to anticipate a hike in November, now at 4.60%, the market's response will be critical, particularly as data releases on employment and GDP come into play ahead of the RBA decisions, making every data point a substantial market signal.
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