Bank of England's Greene: Risk of acting is less severe than the risk of failing to act
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The irks of acting, even if inflation is less persistent, is less severe than the risk of failing to act The market is pricing in a 50% chance of a rate hike at the July 30 meeting. I suspect that which way that breaks will depend on the war. This article was written by Adam Butt
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4 itemsBoE's Greene: Worth waiting before deciding on rate hikes
The desk believes the Bank of England (BoE) is likely to adopt a cautious approach regarding interest rate hikes, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions stemming from the US-Iran conflict. Per the full note [source], BoE's Greene has indicated that while inflation risks are skewed to the upside, the current sluggish economy and loose labor market may mitigate the second-round effects of energy shocks. The market currently prices in a 42% chance of a rate hike in June, which suggests that upcoming economic data will be pivotal in shaping expectations ahead of the meeting.