FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 36 institutional desks. No promotion.
Live cross-firm bank consensus across 36 desks — FX, oil & gold
View bank forecastsFrom the original
"It's a close call" whether interest rates are high enough. Would not say whether he would have joined the three Fed officials who dissented in favor of a rate hike. Skeptical that the labor market has strengthened meaningfully. Price increases are continuing to move through the
The Federal Reserve's recent decision to hold interest rates steady, despite dissent from three FOMC members, highlights ongoing uncertainties in the U.S. economy. Markets had anticipated a potential rate hike, pricing in a one-third chance of a 25bp increase; however, the Fed opted for caution ahead of further employment and inflation data, with current rates maintained at 3.5-3.75%. Per the full note [source], the implication is a more extended period of steady policy, projecting a likelihood of rates remaining unchanged into 2027. This decision has prompted slight softening in the dollar and shifts in the yield curve.