EUR/USD extends gains after the soft US inflation data but the focus remains on US-Iran crisis
EUR/USD — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2026 |
|---|---|---|
Bank of America | Bearish | 1.1200 |
ANZ | Bearish | 1.1400 |
UOB | Bullish | 1.1565 |
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FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar weakened across the board in the past couple of days following the surprisingly soft US inflation figures. The data triggered a dovish repricing in interest rate expectations with traders scaling back significantly the probabilities for a r
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4 itemsEUR/USD extends the consolidation amid widely expected ECB hikes, US-Iran stalemate
Lead — The EUR/USD pair remains in a consolidation phase as traders await clearer signals from both the ECB and the Federal Reserve. Per the full note from Giuseppe Dellamotta, the US dollar has strengthened slightly amid geopolitical tensions and higher-than-expected inflation data, while the euro faces pressure despite anticipated ECB rate hikes. The market is pricing in an 87% probability of a June rate hike from the ECB, but the desk sees limited room for the euro to rally based solely on interest rate expectations. Upcoming US Retail Sales and Jobless Claims data will be crucial in shaping market sentiment.