Feds Waller: Does not expect change in policy in the near term
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Fed's Waller is speaking and his comments are more hawkish Do not expect to support a change in the policy rate in the near term; outcome will depend heavily on the length of the Iran conflict Labor market is in balance and no longer the chief concern in determining the path of p
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The desk believes the current rhetoric from the Federal Reserve reflects deepening uncertainty about policy decisions, particularly with regard to the resilience of the US labor market and its implications for monetary policy. Per the full note [source], Fed Governor Waller's gloomy commentary suggests that market participants are grappling with the likelihood of a rate cut in December, reflecting concerns about economic performance and consumer affordability. Concurrently, the tension between inflationary pressures, particularly those induced by tariffs, and the Fed's need to support employment results in a complex economic landscape. A focus on these dynamics indicates that traders should remain vigilant as inflation projections rise into early 2024, which could influence currency positioning and volatility.