More Waller: Hawkish comments from the Fed Governor
From the original
If shorter run expectations go up, that’s alarming and the Fed might have to take steps There is no way the Fed can go back to the small balance sheet of 2008 The Fed wants to run an ample reserves type system Does not want to go to a scarce reserve system Has not spoken to Warsh
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The desk believes that Kevin Warsh's appointment as Fed chair will not lead to the anticipated rate cuts, given the current inflationary pressures and a hawkish FOMC. Per the full note [source], analysts highlight that inflation remains significantly above the Fed's target, complicating any potential easing of monetary policy. Market expectations have shifted towards pricing in a rate hike instead of a cut, reflecting a broader reassessment of the Fed's trajectory. This change in sentiment is critical for traders to consider as they navigate the evolving landscape of U.S. monetary policy.
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