Goldman Sachs: Rolling our EUR/USD forecasts higher - investingLive
At a Glance
Goldman Sachs has revised its EUR/USD forecasts upward, reflecting heightened optimism about the Euro's performance against the Dollar. This adjustment aligns with a broader trend of increasing price targets among other major banks, suggesting a more positive outlook for eurozone economic stability.
Key Takeaways
- 01Goldman Sachs has raised its EUR/USD forecasts, anticipating a stronger Euro against the Dollar.
- 02This upward revision reflects a trend among several banks, signaling shifting sentiment in major FX forecasts.
- 03While optimism is growing, some firms maintain more cautious views, suggesting the potential for volatility.
Full Analysis
What the desk is arguing
Goldman Sachs' decision to roll its EUR/USD forecasts higher indicates a bullish stance on the Euro as we move further into 2026. The revised targets, with March 2026 set at 1.1800 and December 2026 at 1.2500, underscore a trend where institutional confidence is building on the Euro's resilience amid a potentially stabilizing economic landscape in Europe.
Supporting this view, other major banks, such as ING and Deutsche Bank, have also raised their EUR/USD targets, reinforcing the idea that the prevailing economic conditions may favor the Euro against the Dollar in the coming months. The implicit counterargument to Goldman’s bullishness is the risk of unexpected geopolitical or macroeconomic shocks that could derail this trend, particularly given recent volatility in global markets.
Where it sits in our coverage
The current consensus target for EUR/USD sits at 1.2200 for December 2026, indicating a strong expectation of euro appreciation but still lower than Goldman’s newly set target of 1.2500. The spread among bank targets is tightening, with firms generally adopting more optimistic views compared to their previous forecasts.
Specifically, firms have set the following December 2026 targets:
- JPMorgan: 1.2000
- Barclays: 1.2100
- Deutsche Bank: 1.2500
This demonstrates a converging sentiment among banks, with Goldman’s view residing on the more aggressive side of the spectrum.
How other firms see it
Several firms in the FX space show alignment with Goldman Sachs' bullish outlook on EUR/USD. In particular, Deutsche Bank and ING have also made upward revisions to their targets, which indicates a collective belief in Euro strength.
However, some firms remain cautious or have differing views. For instance:
- Bank of America: 1.2200 (Dec-26)
- Morgan Stanley: 1.1600 (Dec-26)
This divergence illustrates the varying degrees of confidence in both the eurozone economic recovery and its implications for EUR/USD performance.
Market Implications
The increased forecasts from Goldman Sachs and other banks suggest a potential shift in market positioning as traders may seek to capitalize on a stronger Euro. This could lead to adjustments in Euro-denominated assets and impact US dollar liquidity as investors balance their portfolios.
EUR/USD — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2027 |
|---|---|---|
Goldman Sachs | Bearish | 1.1200 |
UOB | Neutral | 1.1450 |
Citi | Bearish | 1.1000 |
From the original
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