Market outlook for the week of 10th-14th August
From the original
Monday starts slow with nothing significant in terms of scheduled economic events for the FX market. On Tuesday the Reserve Bank of Australia will publish its monetary policy announcement and the U.S. will release the ADP weekly employment change and the existing home sales figur
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Lead — The desk anticipates a cautious week for the FX market, with significant attention on the RBA's monetary policy decision and U.S. labor data releases. Per the full note [source], geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures are likely to influence central bank actions, particularly in Australia. The consensus suggests a 25 bps hike from the RBA, aligning with market expectations. Additionally, the upcoming U.S. employment data could reveal further insights into the labor market's trajectory, impacting USD positioning.