[PREVIEW] Riksbank Policy Announcement on 24th September 2026 - Newsquawk
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[PREVIEW] Riksbank Policy Announcement on 24th September 2026 Newsquawk
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4 itemsRiksbank preview: Hold now, hike in November
The desk anticipates that the Riksbank will opt for a hawkish hold at its upcoming meeting, indicating a likely hike in November. Per the full note [source], while there is a possibility of a surprise hike on September 24, the Riksbank's current stance reflects its cautious approach to inflation dynamics and external market pressures. The expectation builds on signals of rising inflation due to energy price increases and a weaker krona, reinforcing the view that tightening is on the horizon in the coming months, possibly at the November or December meetings.
Riksbank preview: Low inflation limits hawkish scope
Riksbank’s unconvincing hawkish attempt
The Riksbank's recent meeting points to a central bank struggling to maintain its hawkish front while facing persistent low inflation. Although the Riksbank held rates steady at 1.75% and hinted at tighter monetary policy for the future, their new inflation forecasts contradict the appetites for a rate hike in 2026, raising doubts among market participants. Per the full note from ing-think, the updated outlook shows inflation remaining below the 2.0% target until 2027, undercutting any immediate rate hike expectations. The desk sees this divergence as reflective of a broader sentiment that is cautious on the Swedish krona, anticipating continued weakness over the near term.
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