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Insight: The energy shock isn’t likely to trigger a US recession in 2026

The desk interprets RBC's analysis, emphasizing that an energy shock is not anticipated to lead to a recession in the U.S. by 2026. Per the full note, RBC suggests that while energy prices pose potential challenges, they do not foresee a sharp economic downturn driven by such shocks. This assessment should be regarded in the context of stable consumer spending and robust labor markets, which have historically shown resilience in past crises.