The US dollar rises to the highest level since May 2025 on increased Fed rate hike bets
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In the Fed preview yesterday, I mentioned that Warsh was going to be the noise, while the Board the signal. In fact, the only takeaway from the decision was the more hawkish dot plot as the statement didn't contain anything and Fed Chair Warsh refrained from giving forward guidan
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FX Daily: Warsh should keep the dollar supported
The desk anticipates that the dollar will remain well-supported, particularly in light of statements expected from Kevin Warsh at the ECB's Sintra conference. Per the full note [source], Warsh's hawkish tone following last month's FOMC meeting has shaped market expectations, with anticipated Fed tightening priced into the curve. Given stronger economic signals, including a recent core PCE print of 3.4% YoY and a robust jobs report, the environment favors dollar strength as traders await further indications from Warsh about monetary policy direction.