U.S.-Iran ceasefire boosts Australian dollar; RBA's 'hawkish pause' emerges as key short-term variable - Moomoo

BOJ hike certain, RBA and Fed on hold as Iran deal reshapes central bank outlook

AUD/USD remains stuck in a range as RBA signals a pause and US-Iran stalemate extends

The desk sees AUD/USD remaining rangebound as geopolitical tensions and central bank signals create a cautious environment. Per the full note [source], the US dollar has gained support amid escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, while the RBA's recent pause in rate hikes has left the Australian dollar vulnerable. With the Fed's shift away from an easing bias and the RBA's more neutral stance, the market is positioned for potential volatility as economic data releases loom. Upcoming US data, particularly the NFP report, could serve as a catalyst for movement in the pair.

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