BOJ hike certain, RBA and Fed on hold as Iran deal reshapes central bank outlook
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The Iran peace framework has effectively superseded this week's central bank calendar as the dominant market driver, with oil price direction doing more work on currencies like the Australian dollar than any RBA statement could. The BOJ hike is fully priced and unlikely to move t
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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is poised for a 25 basis point rate hike today, driven by inflationary pressures exacerbated by geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict in Iran. Per the full note from Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com, this marks the RBA's third consecutive hike, reflecting a split board that is nonetheless leaning towards tightening. The market is closely watching this decision, especially given the potential for a hawkish stance from Governor Bullock regardless of the outcome, indicating a strong commitment to combat inflation. The consensus among analysts suggests a significant focus on the implications of the Hormuz Strait situation on inflation dynamics, which could influence future monetary policy.
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