The desk anticipates that GBP/NZD will be significantly influenced by upcoming UK jobs data, which is expected to shape market sentiment and positioning. Per…
The desk anticipates heightened volatility in the AUD/GBP cross as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to evolve, impacting risk sentiment and…
The desk highlights a hawkish tilt in FX sentiment as essential for strengthening currencies, underscoring that recent discourse suggests a greater likelihood…
The desk sees a hawkish tilt from central banks as a critical driver for FX markets, particularly in light of rising inflation pressures stemming from…
The desk anticipates a more aggressive monetary policy response from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) following a significant overshoot in inflation…
The desk interprets RBA Governor Bullock's recent comments as a clear signal that the central bank is prioritizing inflation control amidst external shocks.…
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised its cash rate to 4.35% in the May monetary policy meeting, a move anticipated by market participants. Per the…
The desk anticipates a hawkish shift from the RBA, likely raising the cash rate to 4.35% in response to persistent inflation pressures, as highlighted in the…
Lead — The Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem's recent comments regarding the Federal Reserve's independence suggest a stabilizing outlook for U.S. monetary…
The desk believes that the recent re-escalation of tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving key oil-producing nations, is likely to sustain upward…
Lead — The recent re-escalation of tensions in the Persian Gulf has led to a notable uptick in oil and gas prices, as traders begin to reassess the potential…
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is poised to increase its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35%, with National Australia Bank (NAB) projecting a terminal…
Lead — Rabobank's conviction in a year-end strengthening of the yen against the dollar, despite its recent underperformance, hinges on structural shifts within…
The recent rise of the 10-year SOFR rate, now at the 4% level, suggests a precarious landscape for fixed-income markets, compelling traders to recalibrate…
The desk sees the ECB's recent adjustments to growth and inflation forecasts as a significant hawkish signal, indicating a potential shift in monetary policy.…
The desk interprets New York Fed President John Williams' recent comments as a significant warning about the complacency in energy markets, suggesting that…
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is poised for a 25 basis point rate hike today, driven by inflationary pressures exacerbated by geopolitical tensions,…
The desk anticipates a return to the 4% handle for the 10-year SOFR, where fixed rate receiver discussions gain traction. Per the full note [source], this…
The desk is focused on the trends emerging from recent economic indicators, particularly emphasizing the implications of the latest monetary policy signals.…
The desk interprets New York Fed President John Williams' recent comments as a signal of increased caution regarding U.S. economic growth and inflation…
The desk views the ongoing surge in AI-related capital expenditures (CapEx) as a significant driver for risk assets, particularly in the technology sector. Per…
The desk is increasingly concerned about the potential for rising inflation in the US, driven by a confluence of factors including geopolitical tensions and…
Lead — The ECB's recent decisions, particularly regarding the remuneration of excess reserves and the digital euro pilot, signal a strategic shift towards…
The desk anticipates a sustained stability in the euro area, bolstered by the ECB's commitment to price stability and a gradual normalization of monetary…
The desk anticipates a bullish trend for the USD/CAD pair, projecting a rise to the 1.40–1.41 range within the next 3 to 6 months. Per the full note from…
The desk views the ECB's proactive stance on digital assets as a pivotal moment for the eurozone's financial landscape, particularly in enhancing payment…
The ongoing strength in US dollar credit supply signals persistent demand for dollar-denominated assets, even as levels normalize from March's peaks. This…
Lead — The desk interprets the recent volatility in USD/JPY as a potential intervention signal from Japanese authorities, as the pair rebounded sharply after a…
The desk views the ECB's trajectory as increasingly hawkish, with a June rate hike now nearly certain following comments from policymaker Kažimír. Per the full…