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Barclays

FX Outlook 2026: Navigating the Turn

LIVE28 November 2025USD bearish
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USD/ZAR

ZAR benefits from commodity ToT, GNU stability, and fiscal improvement. Carry pl

Bullish

BARC Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

Commodity ToT
GNU stability
Fiscal consolidation
Carry
Valuations

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

JPMBullish16.25
INGBullish16.25
BARCBullish16.10
GSBullish16.00
MUFGBullish16.00
BofABullish15.80
MSBullish15.75
DBStrongly Bullish15.50

Analysis Summary

ZAR benefits from commodity ToT, GNU stability, and fiscal improvement. Carry plus capital appreciation potential. USD/ZAR to 16.10.

FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE

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