BOJ front-loading now in play as AI demand and inflation risks build
Analysts at Daiwa frame the debate as having moved from "whether to hike" to "how much and how quickly to front-load" is the most market-relevant signal in the note. If the BOJ is indeed shifting its assessment framework away from a simple real interest rate gauge toward a broade
USD/JPY — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2026 |
|---|---|---|
Bank of America | Bullish | 149.00 |
Scotiabank | Bullish | 140.00 |
UOB | Bearish | 158.40 |
All 21 desk targets for USD/JPY
Desk synthesis pending
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Cross-firm research
USD/JPY at 158.86: Consensus Targets 152, Dispersion Spans 25.5 Figures
USD/JPY trades 4.51% above the 23-firm Dec-26 consensus of 152.0, with a 25.5-figure dispersion signalling deep disagreement on the BoJ-Fed spread.
USD/JPY Consensus Check: Spot at 157.83, Median Target 152.0 — Week of September 23, 2026
USD/JPY trades 3.83% above the 23-firm median Dec-26 target of 152.0, with a 25.5-point dispersion range signalling deep disagreement on the BoJ-Fed spread path.
USD/JPY Consensus Check: Spot at 157.39, Median Target 152.0 — Week of September 22, 2026
USD/JPY trades 3.55% above the 23-firm median Dec-26 target of 152.0, with a 25.5-point dispersion range signalling deep disagreement on the BoJ-Fed spread path.