FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
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Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 35 institutional desks. No promotion.
FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 35 institutional desks. No promotion.
The desk argues that Nordea Asset Management's proactive approaches to fostering climate initiatives among corporations could influence broader investment strategies and market sentiment, particularly as sustainability gains traction. Per the full note from Nordea, their engagement with nearly one thousand entities in 2020 demonstrates their commitment to reducing carbon intensity by 50% by 2030, paving the way towards achieving net-zero emissions by 2050. This aligns with global trends as financial players increasingly recognize the significance of climate risk. While the emphasis on sustainable investing grows, the desk remains vigilant about potential short-term market corrections that could arise amidst regulatory uncertainties.
The desk posits that Nordea's active engagement in climate initiatives reflects a driving force for sustainable investment strategies that may resonate across the financial landscape. Per the full note from Nordea, their substantial interactions with companies and governments indicate a strategic pivot towards decarbonization that could reshape performance metrics in the long run.
With Nordea's funds reportedly achieving carbon intensity approximating half of that of benchmark indices like the MSCI World, this strategy positions them favorably in ESG rankings. Eric Pedersen, Nordea's Head of Responsible Investments, emphasizes their commitment to measurable impact, which could set a precedent for other asset managers seeking alignment with global warming targets.
Our consensus target for the EUR/USD pair currently sits at 1.075, with a range from 1.04 to 1.12. jpmorgan has set a 1.10 target for the same tenor, highlighting a positive outlook on the pair amidst sustainable investment trends, while bofa holds a contrary view with a 1.04 projection for March 2026.
The desk's viewpoint is aligned towards the higher end of this range, suggesting that the broader sentiment in favor of responsible investing could provide upward pressure on the euro relative to the dollar.
Firms like jpmorgan align with the desk's perspective, fostering optimism for sustainability and its effects on currency markets. Meanwhile, bofa presents a more cautious stance, highlighting potential concerns over the immediate market response to these sustainable initiatives.
Watch for EUR/USD dynamics correlated with broader themes of ESG integration and central bank monetary policies, particularly as the European Central Bank continues to navigate the implications of climate change on economic stability.
How firms align with this view
Aligned with the desk view
Contrary positioning
Key takeaways
Market implications
Pay attention to EUR/USD as market reactions to sustainability initiatives from institutions like Nordea could influence sentiment in the near term. Levels around 1.075 may act as a critical pivot point.
Risks to this view
A resurgence of economic uncertainty or negative regulatory news could undermine the current positivity surrounding sustainable investments, potentially leading to a pullback in the EUR/USD exchange rate.
Sustainable banking Dialogue with companies leads to increased climate efforts 01-06-2021 With almost a thousand engagements with companies and countries in 2020, Nordea Asset Management is driving change through active ownership. The new Climate report shows what else is needed for reaching our target, and reveals the carbon intensity of all Nordea funds. Nordea Asset Management (NAM) has released its first Climate report , taking another step forward to increase transparency on our commitment to extensive climate change initiatives.
Before reaching the net-zero emission target for 2050, the goal set for 2030 is to reduce the carbon intensity of NAM investments by 50%. “It will be a significant milestone on our way to comply with the Paris agreement goals for 2050. The necessity of this is really not debatable anymore, and we are determined to deliver on it,” says Eric Pedersen, Head of Responsible Investments in Nordea Asset Management. The new report reveals the facts about the carbon footprints of each and every one of all the investment funds managed by NAM.
The figures show that the carbon intensity for the whole of NAM investments at the end of 2020 was approximately half of that for the investments at the global leading stock markets, measured by MSCI World Index. “Our funds’ carbon footprint already proves that our strategy has led to a clearly lower carbon intensity than benchmark indices. Although there is still a long way to go to reach zero, this is the way the world is moving, and we intend to continue to be an important player in achieving real-world impact in terms of emissions reduction,” Eric Pedersen confirms. Our funds’ carbon footprint already proves that our strategy has led to a clearly lower carbon intensity than benchmark indices.
Eric Pedersen, Head of Responsible Investments Ready, set, engage: Xcel Energy An example from the Climate Report on Nordea pushing companies to accelerate decarbonization is Xcel Energy, a major electric power company that supplies electricity and natural gas to retail customers in the United States. When NAM started its engagement, 60% of the electricity generation was based on coal and other fossil fuels. Just nine months later, Xcel committed to delivering 100% emission-free electricity by 2050, the first utility in the US to do so.
The ongoing dialogue with the company is currently focused on the company’s efforts in the 2020-2030 period, and the concrete possibilities for realising earlier-than-planned closures of coal-fired power plants and adding more renewables capacity. How to achieve the goals set for investments There are many ways for Nordea to work for a greener future. With a big toolbox you need to choose the right one for each task.
Three key mechanisms that are to bring the investments to the 2030 and the 2050 goals are: Pushing the companies, that NAM is invested in, towards accelerating decarbonization Investing in companies facilitating real-world decarbonization Shifting away from high emitting companies and industries “Targeting whole industries for exclusion is clearly the mechanism where the real-world impact is the least direct. You can say that blanket exclusions may give you a good conscience, but they don’t change much in the real world, at least in the short term. Still, exclusion will continue to be used in some cases.
Both to make it possible to reach the targets, and because there are areas of the economy that do not have much of a future long term – coal mining being an obvious example,” Eric Pedersen says. “In our ESG funds - those that have environmental or social features beyond what applies to all Nordea’s funds - we also generally avoid energy companies, until they have taken significant steps to align their future business model with the Paris Agreement,” he says. “At the same time, we engage with and support shareholders’ climate resolutions in laggard companies on the basis of our investments in those funds that can still own them.” Close to a thousand engagements with companies and countries last year In 2020 Nordea had 924 engagements with companies and countries to influence and push them towards better solutions for the climate, human rights and other key issues. The figures together with many more facts can be found in another new report, the Responsible Investments Report 2020 from Nordea Asset Management. Sustainable banking ESG Sustainability Share this article Share on Facebook Share on Threads Share on Linkedin 25-11-2025 Sustainable banking Nordea recognised as climate transition leader in new Morningstar Sustainalytics report Morningstar Sustainalytics has recently published a new report identifying companies that are taking steps to reduce emissions, set actionable targets and implement good governance practices.
Nordea is highlighted for its significant progress in reducing emissions and its comprehensive climate targets. Read more 24-11-2025 Sustainability Nordic companies stick to climate goals despite global uncertainty Amid geopolitical tensions and fractured global cooperation, Nordic companies are not retreating from their climate ambitions. Our Equities ESG Research team’s annual review shows stronger commitments and measurable progress on emissions reductions.
Read more 19-11-2025 Sustainable banking Nordea at the forefront of joint investor appeal to the EU Nordea Asset Management is part of a coalition of 44 institutional investors and asset managers urging EU decision-makers to uphold the EU's methane emissions regulation. Read more Scroll to top
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