FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 37 institutional desks. No promotion.
Nikkei reports that earlier today the Bank of Japan conducted a 'rate check' on FX rates. The move is often seen as a precursor to intervention but can sometimes be a feint. The report hit some time ago and since then, USD/JPY has backed off 158.00. The report says the calls were
| Firm | Stance | YE 2026 |
|---|
BNP Paribas | Bearish | 1.1500 |
UBS | Bullish | 1.1800 |
UOB | Bullish | 1.1800 |
All 30 desk targets for EUR/USD
Desk synthesis pending
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Fed hawkishness creating fresh EUR/USD selling pressure suggests market repricing higher-for-longer USD rates relative to ECB policy trajectory.
Rising yields supporting USD strength; EUR/USD trading below 1.15 suggests market repricing of relative rate differentials favors dollar appreciation.
Hawkish Fed guidance supports USD strength and widens rate differential favoring dollar positioning into week-end.
USD/JPY trades at 157.07, roughly 3.3% above the 23-firm median Dec-26 target of 152.0, with a 25.5-point dispersion signalling deep disagreement on the BoJ rate path.
Cable trades 1.51% below the 20-firm median Dec-26 target of 1.36, with a 0.26-point spread from Citi's 1.24 floor to UBS's 1.50 ceiling.
USD/JPY trades at 156.89, 3.22% above the 23-firm Dec-26 median of 152.0, with a 25.5-point dispersion signalling deep disagreement on the BoJ-Fed spread path.
30 investment banks see EUR/USD at 1.1639 by Dec 2026
View the live EUR/USD forecast