FX BANK FORECAST · SCORECARD
BNP Paribas
Median absolute error in basis points across G10 · updated nightly
EUR/USD
| Horizon | Window | Median err (bps) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12M | 90d | 522 | 2 |
| 12M | 180d | 522 | 2 |
| 12M | 365d | 522 | 2 |
| 3M | 90d | 87 | 2 |
| 3M | 180d | 87 | 2 |
| 3M | 365d | 87 | 2 |
| 6M | 90d | 261 | 2 |
| 6M | 180d | 261 | 2 |
| 6M | 365d | 261 | 2 |
JPY/USD
| Horizon | Window | Median err (bps) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12M | 90d | 821 | 2 |
| 12M | 180d | 821 | 2 |
| 12M | 365d | 821 | 2 |
| 3M | 90d | 449 | 2 |
| 3M | 180d | 449 | 2 |
| 3M | 365d | 449 | 2 |
| 6M | 90d | 573 | 2 |
| 6M | 180d | 573 | 2 |
| 6M | 365d | 573 | 2 |
GBP/USD
| Horizon | Window | Median err (bps) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12M | 90d | 0 | 2 |
| 12M | 180d | 0 | 2 |
| 12M | 365d | 0 | 2 |
| 3M | 90d | 74 | 2 |
| 3M | 180d | 74 | 2 |
| 3M | 365d | 74 | 2 |
| 6M | 90d | 74 | 2 |
| 6M | 180d | 74 | 2 |
| 6M | 365d | 74 | 2 |
CHF/USD
| Horizon | Window | Median err (bps) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12M | 90d | 250 | 2 |
| 12M | 180d | 250 | 2 |
| 12M | 365d | 250 | 2 |
| 3M | 90d | 0 | 2 |
| 3M | 180d | 0 | 2 |
| 3M | 365d | 0 | 2 |
| 6M | 90d | 125 | 2 |
| 6M | 180d | 125 | 2 |
| 6M | 365d | 125 | 2 |
AUD/USD
| Horizon | Window | Median err (bps) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12M | 90d | 556 | 2 |
| 12M | 180d | 556 | 2 |
| 12M | 365d | 556 | 2 |
| 3M | 90d | 833 | 2 |
| 3M | 180d | 833 | 2 |
| 3M | 365d | 833 | 2 |
| 6M | 90d | 694 | 2 |
| 6M | 180d | 694 | 2 |
| 6M | 365d | 694 | 2 |
CAD/USD
| Horizon | Window | Median err (bps) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12M | 90d | 146 | 2 |
| 12M | 180d | 146 | 2 |
| 12M | 365d | 146 | 2 |
| 3M | 90d | 73 | 2 |
| 3M | 180d | 73 | 2 |
| 3M | 365d | 73 | 2 |
| 6M | 90d | 0 | 2 |
| 6M | 180d | 0 | 2 |
| 6M | 365d | 0 | 2 |
NZD/USD
| Horizon | Window | Median err (bps) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12M | 90d | 169 | 2 |
| 12M | 180d | 169 | 2 |
| 12M | 365d | 169 | 2 |
| 3M | 90d | 169 | 2 |
| 3M | 180d | 169 | 2 |
| 3M | 365d | 169 | 2 |
| 6M | 90d | 169 | 2 |
| 6M | 180d | 169 | 2 |
| 6M | 365d | 169 | 2 |
NOK/USD
| Horizon | Window | Median err (bps) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12M | 90d | 853 | 2 |
| 12M | 180d | 853 | 2 |
| 12M | 365d | 853 | 2 |
| 3M | 90d | 190 | 2 |
| 3M | 180d | 190 | 2 |
| 3M | 365d | 190 | 2 |
| 6M | 90d | 427 | 2 |
| 6M | 180d | 427 | 2 |
| 6M | 365d | 427 | 2 |
SEK/USD
| Horizon | Window | Median err (bps) | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12M | 90d | 914 | 2 |
| 12M | 180d | 914 | 2 |
| 12M | 365d | 914 | 2 |
| 3M | 90d | 203 | 2 |
| 3M | 180d | 203 | 2 |
| 3M | 365d | 203 | 2 |
| 6M | 90d | 457 | 2 |
| 6M | 180d | 457 | 2 |
| 6M | 365d | 457 | 2 |
FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
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Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from eight institutional desks. No promotion.