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FX BANK FORECAST · SCORECARD

Who’s been right on FX

Median absolute error in basis points for every sell-side forecaster, by G10 pair, scored against the Street’s average. Lower is better. Hover any cell for the directional hit rate and sample size. Updated nightly.

The Street478382534355703293558640632avg bps
FirmEUR/USDJPY/USDGBP/USDCHF/USDAUD/USDCAD/USDNZD/USDNOK/USDSEK/USDOverall bpsBarclays348318534247469213357488461382Goldman Sachs522318305370625284357488461415Bank of America348382458370625284536537566456MUFG522446534370625284357537566471J.P. Morgan43564763123625213536898912508ING4352553053701094284893810744577Deutsche Bank522510534494781426714732723604Morgan Stanley696764840494781355714634618655

Methodology

Hit rate = fraction of forecasts whose predicted direction matches realized direction relative to spot at the time of forecast. Median absolute error in basis points. Read full methodology →

FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE

Institutional FX coverage in your inbox

Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from eight institutional desks. No promotion.