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FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
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Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 38 institutional desks. No promotion.
FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 38 institutional desks. No promotion.
Regime profile
How HSBC forecasts the major currency pairs across different market regimes — the combination of volatility and the recent dollar trend. The vs avg figure compares each regime against HSBC's own accuracy across all regimes, so a positive number marks a genuine specialty.
Strongest regime
high vol uncertain
+12.5pp vs avg
Weakest regime
calm range
-19.2pp vs avg
All-regime accuracy
100%
directional, all conditions
Revision leadership
—
not yet scored
Each cell shows HSBC's directional accuracy in that regime, with the delta versus its own all-regime average underneath and the number of forecasts in small type. Blank cells have no ranked sample yet.
| Regime | Rolling 1Y | All-time | 2026 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| trending strong dollar | 20% -7.5pp n=10 | 20% -7.5pp n=10 | 20% -6.6pp n=10 | — |
| calm range | 8% -19.2pp n=24 | 8% -19.2pp n=24 | 5% -21.3pp |
| — |
| high vol uncertain | 40% +12.5pp n=15 | 40% +12.5pp n=15 | 40% +13.4pp n=15 | — |
| mixed | 39% +11.2pp n=31 | 39% +11.2pp n=31 | 40% +13.4pp n=20 | 36% +5.1pp n=11 |