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FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
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Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 38 institutional desks. No promotion.
FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 38 institutional desks. No promotion.
Regime profile
How MS forecasts the major currency pairs across different market regimes — the combination of volatility and the recent dollar trend. The vs avg figure compares each regime against MS's own accuracy across all regimes, so a positive number marks a genuine specialty.
Strongest regime
high vol uncertain
+20.0pp vs avg
Weakest regime
calm range
-18.1pp vs avg
All-regime accuracy
100%
directional, all conditions
Revision leadership
—
not yet scored
Each cell shows MS's directional accuracy in that regime, with the delta versus its own all-regime average underneath and the number of forecasts in small type. Blank cells have no ranked sample yet.
| Regime | Rolling 1Y | All-time | 2026 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| calm range | 24% -18.1pp n=25 | 24% -18.1pp n=25 | 11% -26.6pp n=18 | — |
| high vol uncertain | 62% +20.0pp n=29 | 62% +20.0pp n=29 | 62% +24.3pp |
| — |
| mixed | 38% -4.2pp n=58 | 38% -4.2pp n=58 | 31% -7.1pp n=49 | 78% +9.0pp n=9 |