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FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
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Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 37 institutional desks. No promotion.
FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 37 institutional desks. No promotion.
Regime profile
How MS forecasts the major currency pairs across different market regimes — the combination of volatility and the recent dollar trend. The vs avg figure compares each regime against MS's own accuracy across all regimes, so a positive number marks a genuine specialty.
Strongest regime
calm range
+0.8pp vs avg
Weakest regime
high vol uncertain
-6.7pp vs avg
All-regime accuracy
100%
directional, all conditions
Revision leadership
—
not yet scored
Each cell shows MS's directional accuracy in that regime, with the delta versus its own all-regime average underneath and the number of forecasts in small type. Blank cells have no ranked sample yet.
| Regime | Rolling 1Y | All-time | 2026 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| calm range | 70% +0.8pp n=10 | 70% +0.8pp n=10 | — | — |
| high vol uncertain | 63% -6.7pp n=8 | 63% -6.7pp n=8 | 63% -2.7pp n=8 | — |
| mixed |
68% -0.8pp n=19 |
68% -0.8pp n=19 |
60% -5.2pp n=10 |
78% +2.8pp n=9 |