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BoC

Bank of Canada

BoCCanadaAmericas·CAD

Overnight rate

2.75%

as of 2026-04-16

Next meeting

Jul 30

T-38d

Bias

NEUTRAL

The Bank of Canada sets the target for the overnight rate to keep inflation low, stable, and predictable under an agreed inflation-control target. The Governing Council announces rate decisions on a fixed schedule of eight dates per year.

Meeting Schedule (2026)

Jan 29Mar 12Apr 16Jun 4Jul 30Sep 17Oct 29Dec 10

Policy decisions are announced on the dates above. Source: official central bank schedules.

Primary Currency
CAD
Cross-firm view, consensus targets, and live rate

Overnight rate

2.75%

As of 2026-04-16

CAD 2026 consensus

1.35

median of 23 banks

CAD net longs (CFTC)

-58,623

latest as of

-14,022 WoW

Next macro event

BoC Gov Macklem Speech

Upcoming Macro Calendar — Canada

Next 8 high+medium impact events (next 30d)

DateEventCountryImpactConsensusPrevious
BoC Gov Macklem SpeechCAMed
BoC Gov Rogers SpeechCAMed
Gross Domestic Product MoM (Apr)CAMed0.4%-0.1%
Gross Domestic Product MoM (May)CAMed0.1%0.4%
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun)CAMed50.152.9
BoC Business Outlook SurveyCAMed
Balance of Trade (May)CAMed2.72 B
Ivey PMI (Jun)CAHigh5058.2

Recent Commentary on BoC

Updated 17 days ago

5 most-recent items prefer LLM synthesis where available

BIS SPEECHES

Holta Zaçaj: Keynote speech - Balkan Payment Forum 2026

The desk interprets Ms. Holta Zaçaj's keynote at the Balkan Payment Forum as a signal of a progressive shift in regional payment infrastructure, emphasizing Albania's central role in facilitating…

central-bankMS

BoC Hawkish/Dovish Trajectory

100 statements scored, Dec 2025 → May 2026

Most hawkish: May 11, 2026 (Ida Wolden Bache: Policy rate raised to 4.25 percent, score +75)

Most dovish: Apr 30, 2026 (Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: ECB press conference -…, score -35)

Bank Consensus on CAD

Aggregated 2026 year-end target across 23 sell-side firms

Median vs spot: -1.5%

Median
1.35
Spread
0.14
Top Bull
JPM1.42
Top Bear
BNS1.28

CFTC Positioning — CAD

Updated 13 days ago

Non-commercial net longs over the past 8 weeks. Latest report: for BoC

Latest net

-58,623

CAD non-commercial contracts

WoW change

-14,022

-14,022 WoW

8-week trend

oldest → newest

Firm Coverage

Reports referencing BoC across covered research desks

Related Coverage

Related FX Research

Updated 13 days ago
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FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE

Institutional FX coverage in your inbox

Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from eight institutional desks. No promotion.