China’s reflation trend continues to solidify

China’s reflation trend continues to solidify

The current landscape suggests persistent inflationary pressures in China are leading to a more stable reflation environment. As reported, China's consumer price index (CPI) held at 1.2% year-on-year while the producer price index (PPI) climbed to 3.9%, indicating an ongoing transition away from deflation. Per the full note [source], this shift may have meaningful implications for global risk assets and currency positioning, particularly as traders assess the impact of these inflation trends on the People's Bank of China's policy stance in the near term.

China reflation momentum strengthens in April, likely keeping the PBOC on hold

The desk maintains a bullish outlook on the Chinese yuan, bolstered by stronger-than-expected inflation data from April. Per the full note from ing-think, both China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) exceeded forecasts, with PPI reaching a notable 45-month high. This inflationary momentum suggests that the People's Bank of China (PBOC) is likely to remain on hold, avoiding any immediate policy shifts despite rising energy prices, which could have delayed effects on the economy. The consensus among firms indicates a target range for USD/CNY that reflects this cautious optimism, with no high-impact events on the calendar to disrupt this trajectory.

China's industrial profits bouncing back after 3-year downtrend

China's industrial profits bouncing back after 3-year downtrend