FOMC June 2026 dot plot sees end of year target at 3.8% vs 3.4% in March 2026
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The dot plot from Federal Reserve members outlines the projection for rates at the end of 2026, 2027 and 2028. At the March meeting, the FOMC was projecting 1 cut in 2026 to 3.4%, and another in 2027 to 3.1%. The current projections shows. The end of 2026 3.8%, vs 3.4% in March T
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October 2025 FOMC Preview QT out, flexible reserves in… (Podcast Edition)
The desk anticipates a significant shift in monetary policy as the Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming FOMC meeting, potentially signaling the end of its quantitative tightening (QT) program. Per the full note from MUFG EMEA, George Goncalves highlights the impact of the government shutdown and evolving US trade policy on these expectations. As reserves continue to dwindle, this meeting could provide clarity on the Fed's path forward, possibly concluding QT by year-end. This perspective aligns with our view that the Fed is pivoting towards a more accommodative stance, which could influence currency markets significantly.
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