FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 35 institutional desks. No promotion.
Live cross-firm bank consensus across 35 desks — FX, oil & gold
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The ceasefire extension in Iran is helping markets trade optimistically again, but we ultimately need to see a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to take the dollar much lower from here. Alongside new headlines from the Gulf, keep an eye on a potentially hotter-than-expected Germa
The desk sees potential weakness in the EUR/USD pair, driven by geopolitical risks stemming from Iran that could affect European economic stability. As noted by ING Economics, these tensions not only have immediate ramifications for European energy prices but could also heighten inflationary pressures, thus complicating the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policies. Current consensus places the EUR/USD at 1.1500, with projections ranging from 1.1300 to 1.2000 over the next several quarters. With no major data releases upcoming, traders may need to rely on geopolitical developments to gauge market impact.