Risk of dovish BoJ hike and hawkish Fed keeps USD/JPY skewed to the upside
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FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar has been consolidating against most major currencies since Monday. The US CPI report yesterday came mostly in line with expectations and helped alleviate some of the most hawkish fears. The market pricing hasn’t changed though as traders co
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USD/JPY flirts with a key upside breakout as yen's intervention-led gains continue to fade
The desk sees the USD/JPY poised for a potential upside breakout as the yen's recent gains, driven by intervention, appear to be waning. Per the full note [source], the US dollar has regained traction amid higher-than-expected inflation data and geopolitical tensions, while the Bank of Japan's dovish stance continues to weigh on the yen. With the USD/JPY testing the critical 158.00 resistance level, a breakout could signal a move towards 162.00, contingent on the Fed's evolving policy stance and upcoming economic data. The market remains cautious, awaiting the US Retail Sales report and Jobless Claims figures, which could provide further direction.
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