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FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
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Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from 31 institutional desks. No promotion.
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usdtry-tcmb
USD/TRY · TCMB Research
Research grouped under the USD/TRY · TCMB pillar — consensus, dispersion, and the gap to spot across firms. Every piece links back to the underlying firm reports.
- ·USD/TRY·5 min read·-6.14% gap
USD/TRY Consensus Check: Spot at 47.17, Dec-26 Median 50.25 — Week of July 18, 2026
USD/TRY trades 6.1% below the 18-firm Dec-26 median of 50.25, with a 12.80-point dispersion that is among the widest in EM FX.
usdtry tcmbRead → - ·USD/TRY·4 min read·-6.14% gap5 reads
USD/TRY: 47.16 spot vs 50.25 consensus, 12.80 dispersion across 18 desks
USD/TRY trades 6.14% below the 18-firm consensus Dec-26 target of 50.25, with a 12.80-point dispersion that marks the widest spread in EM FX.
- ·USD/TRY·5 min read·-6.36% gap
USD/TRY Consensus Check: Spot at 47.06, Median Target 50.25 — Week of July 16, 2026
USD/TRY trades 6.4% below the 18-firm median Dec-26 target of 50.25, with a 12.80-point dispersion reflecting deep disagreement on TCMB's real-rate path.