Asset Allocation: Throw Away The Playbook: 10 Surprises
From the original
The unique nature of the pandemic shock and the wide uncertainty surrounding it, meant there was no one historical playbook that fit easily. So inevitably there were going to be some surprises. In the event, there have been many.
Related speeches
4 items2023 Financial Market Surprises Podcast
The desk anticipates that financial markets may be underestimating the potential for significant black swan events in 2023, as highlighted in the recent podcast by Eric Robertsen from Standard Chartered. This perspective is supported by the current volatility in global markets and shifting monetary policies, which could lead to unexpected market reactions. Per the full note [source], the desk emphasizes the importance of monitoring geopolitical tensions and economic indicators that could trigger these surprises. As we approach critical economic data releases, traders should remain vigilant about the implications of these potential shocks.
2022 Financial Market Surprises Podcast
The desk posits that the financial markets are currently underestimating the potential for significant surprises, or 'black swans', that could disrupt existing forecasts. Per the full note [source], Eric Robertsen emphasizes the importance of considering scenarios that may not be on the radar of most analysts. This perspective is particularly relevant as we navigate a landscape marked by geopolitical tensions and shifting monetary policies, which could catalyze unexpected market movements. With the consensus target for EUR/USD sitting at 1.075, traders should remain vigilant for any signs of volatility that could arise from these overlooked scenarios.