Bank of Canada preview: Macklem facing a stagflationary headache
USD/CAD — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2026 |
|---|---|---|
Rabobank | Bullish | 1.36 |
ING | Bearish | 1.42 |
MUFG | Bullish | 1.34 |
All 26 desk targets for USD/CAD
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The Bank of Canada will deliver its latest interest rate decision on Wednesday and almost surely hold rates steady at 2.25%, the same place where rates have been since a cut in October. The market also sees very little chance of a rate hike at the July 15 meeting so there is no n
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4 itemsTiff Macklem: Release of the Monetary Policy Report
The desk anticipates a cautious approach from the Bank of Canada following Tiff Macklem's recent remarks, suggesting that while inflation remains a concern, the central bank is unlikely to make aggressive rate hikes in the near term. Per the full note [source], Macklem emphasized the importance of data-driven decisions, particularly in light of upcoming economic indicators. With inflation data due on May 19 and GDP growth figures on May 29, these releases will be critical in shaping the Bank's future policy stance. Our analysis suggests that the CAD may face headwinds if the data falls short of expectations, reinforcing the cautious tone from the BoC.
Bank of Canada rate decision 2.25% vs 2.25% expected
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